Last updated: 2022-06-06
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File | Version | Author | Date | Message |
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Rmd | 8b15558 | Dongyue Xie | 2022-06-06 | Publish the initial files for myproject |
Consider the model \[\mu|b\sim N(b,\sigma^2), b\sim g(\cdot).\]
The marginal density of \(\mu\) is \(f(\mu) = \int p(\mu|b)dG(b)\). We have shown that \(-\frac{1}{\sigma^2}\) is a lower bound of \((\log f(\mu))''\).
When \(g(\cdot)\) is a normal with variance \(\tau^2\), then \((\log f(\mu))'' = -1/(\sigma^2+\tau^2)\). And apparently, \(-1/(\sigma^2+\tau^2) > -1/\sigma^2\).
When \(g(\cdot)\) is a mixture of zero mean Gaussians, it’s harder to find a tighter lower bound of \((\log f(\mu))''\) because the log sum terms.
Here we try to do some simple plots and explore what’s a possible lower bound of \((\log f(\mu))''\).
We let \(b\sim \pi_0N(0,\sigma_0^2) + \pi_1 N(0,\sigma_1^2)\), then \(f(\mu) = \pi_0N(\mu;0,\sigma^2+\sigma^2_0)+\pi_1N(\mu;0,\sigma^2+\sigma^2_1)\).
We use the R function D()
to evaluate the derivatives
symbolically.
f = expression(log(w1/sqrt((s1_2+s2)*2*pi)*exp(-x^2/2/(s1_2+s2))+w2/sqrt((s2_2+s2)*2*pi)*exp(-x^2/2/(s2_2+s2))))
g = D(f,'x')
g2 = D(g,'x')
simu_func = function(x = seq(-5,5,length.out = 100),
s2 = 1,
w1 = 1,
s1_2 = 0.1,
s2_2 = 2){
w2 = 1-w1
y = eval(g2)
plot(x,y,type='l',ylim=c(-1/s2,range(y)[2]),ylab="(log f(mu))''",xlab='mu')
abline(h = -1/s2,lty=2)
}
We first verify if the calculations are correct by using only one component.
x = seq(-5,5,length.out = 100)
s2 = 1
s1_2 = 0
s2_2=0
w1=1
w2 = 0
eval(g2)
[1] -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
[26] -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
[51] -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
[76] -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Now try different parameter values. The dashed line is \(-1/\sigma^2\).
simu_func(w1 = 0.5, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func(w1 = 0.1, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func(w1 = 0.9, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
Is \(-\sum_k w_k\frac{1}{\sigma^2+\sigma^2_k}\) a lower bound?
simu_func2 = function(x = seq(-5,5,length.out = 100),
s2 = 1,
w1 = 1,
s1_2 = 0.1,
s2_2 = 2){
w2 = 1-w1
y = eval(g2)
plot(x,y,type='l',ylim=c(-1/s2,range(y)[2]),ylab="(log f(mu))''",xlab='mu')
abline(h = -(w1/(s2+s1_2)+w2/(s2+s2_2)),lty=2)
}
simu_func2(w1 = 0.5, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func2(w1 = 0.1, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func2(w1 = 0.9, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
It seems not but one observation is that the function achieves the minimum at \(\mu=0\). This can be assured by evaluate \((\log f(\mu))'''\) at \(\mu=0\) and it is 0. We can plug \(\mu = 0\) to \((\log f(\mu))''\).
I’ll derive the formulas using a mixture of \(K\) components for simplicity.
\[(\log f(\mu))'' = \frac{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}e^{-\frac{\mu^2}{2(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}\left((\frac{\mu}{\sigma^2+\sigma^2_k})^2-\frac{1}{\sigma^2+\sigma^2_k}\right)}{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}e^{-\frac{\mu^2}{2(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}} \\ -\left(\frac{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}e^{-\frac{\mu^2}{2(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}\frac{\mu}{\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2}}{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}e^{-\frac{\mu^2}{2(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}}\right)^2\]
At \(\mu = 0\), we have
\[\log f(\mu))''|_{\mu=0} = -\frac{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}\frac{1}{\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2}}{\sum_k\frac{w_k}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma^2_k+\sigma^2)}}}\]
simu_func3 = function(x = seq(-5,5,length.out = 100),
s2 = 1,
w1 = 1,
s1_2 = 0.1,
s2_2 = 2){
w2 = 1-w1
y = eval(g2)
plot(x,y,type='l',ylim=c(-1/s2,range(y)[2]),ylab="(log f(mu))''",xlab='mu')
n1 = w1/sqrt(2*pi*(s1_2+s2))/(s1_2+s2) + w2/sqrt(2*pi*(s2_2+s2))/(s2_2+s2)
d1 = w1/sqrt(2*pi*(s1_2+s2)) + w2/sqrt(2*pi*(s2_2+s2))
abline(h = -n1/d1,lty=2)
}
simu_func3(w1 = 0.5, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func3(w1 = 0.1, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
simu_func3(w1 = 0.9, s2 = 1, s1_2 = 0.1, s2_2 = 3)
sessionInfo()
R version 4.2.0 (2022-04-22)
Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin17.0 (64-bit)
Running under: macOS Big Sur/Monterey 10.16
Matrix products: default
BLAS: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.2/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.2/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib
locale:
[1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8
attached base packages:
[1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base
other attached packages:
[1] workflowr_1.7.0
loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
[1] Rcpp_1.0.8.3 highr_0.9 bslib_0.3.1 compiler_4.2.0
[5] pillar_1.7.0 later_1.3.0 git2r_0.30.1 jquerylib_0.1.4
[9] tools_4.2.0 getPass_0.2-2 digest_0.6.29 jsonlite_1.8.0
[13] evaluate_0.15 tibble_3.1.6 lifecycle_1.0.1 pkgconfig_2.0.3
[17] rlang_1.0.2 cli_3.3.0 rstudioapi_0.13 yaml_2.3.5
[21] xfun_0.30 fastmap_1.1.0 httr_1.4.2 stringr_1.4.0
[25] knitr_1.38 sass_0.4.1 fs_1.5.2 vctrs_0.4.1
[29] rprojroot_2.0.3 glue_1.6.2 R6_2.5.1 processx_3.5.3
[33] fansi_1.0.3 rmarkdown_2.13 callr_3.7.0 magrittr_2.0.3
[37] whisker_0.4 ps_1.7.0 promises_1.2.0.1 htmltools_0.5.2
[41] ellipsis_0.3.2 httpuv_1.6.5 utf8_1.2.2 stringi_1.7.6
[45] crayon_1.5.1